Calculation of car value loss by year, taking into account mileage and class
Calculation of car value loss by year, taking into account mileage and class
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The online calculator estimates the loss in value of a car by year, taking into account mileage, age and class. Linear and exponential depreciation methods are supported, as well as adjustments by mileage and vehicle segment.
Depreciation depends on the brand, segment, market demand and technical condition. We use average market ratios suitable for preliminary estimates of residual value.
Practical examples for different classes, mileage and methods:
Purchase price 1,200,000 RUR
Входные данные:
Price: 1,200,000 RUR
Age: 1 year
Mileage: 15,000 km
Class: Economy
Method: LinearРасчёт:
Base: −18% for the 1st year = 216,000 ₽
Mileage correction: 0% (normal)
Total drop: 216,000 ₽Результат:
Current price: 984,000 ₽
Тип:
Economy
1st year highest depreciation
Purchase price 2,000,000 ₽
Входные данные:
Price: 2,000,000 RUR
Age: 3 years
Mileage: 60,000 km
Class: Medium
Method: ExponentialРасчёт:
Years: −18%, −12%, −10% consecutively
Mileage adjustment: +5% drop
Total drop ≈ 37%Результат:
Current cost: ~1,260,000 RUR
Тип:
Average
Exponential Decline
Purchase price 4,500,000 RUR
Входные данные:
Price: 4,500,000 RUR
Age: 5 years
Mileage: 80,000 km
Class: Premium
Method: LinearРасчёт:
Annual: 18%, 12%, 10%, 8%, 7%
Premium adjustment: +5% drop
Total drop ≈ 50%Результат:
Current cost: ~2,250,000 RUR
Тип:
Premium
Premium loses value faster
Purchase price 900,000 ₽
Входные данные:
Price: 900,000 ₽
Age: 7 years
Mileage: 140,000 km
Class: Economy
Method: ExponentialРасчёт:
Decline: 18%,12%,10%,8%,7%,6%,6%
Mileage: +10% to fall
Total drop ≈ 58%Результат:
Current cost: ~378,000 ₽
Тип:
Economy
High mileage enhances shock absorption
Purchase price 1,600,000 RUR
Входные данные:
Price: 1,600,000 RUR
Age: 10 years
Mileage: 180,000 km
Class: Medium
Method: LinearРасчёт:
Total: ~70% drop
Mileage: +10% to fall
Total ≈ 77%Результат:
Current cost: ~368,000 ₽
Тип:
Average
An old car tends to the lower market limit
Purchase price 6,000,000 RUR
Входные данные:
Price: 6,000,000 RUR
Age: 2 years
Mileage: 20,000 km
Class: Premium
Method: ExponentialРасчёт:
18% + 12% adjusted premium +5%
Total drop ≈ 32%Результат:
Current cost: ~4,080,000 RUR
Тип:
Premium
Low mileage softens the fall
Depreciation is the sum of the base annual loss of value by year and adjustments for mileage and segment. Linear and exponential methods are available.
Residual value = Price × Π(1 − year_rate) × (1 − mileage_adjustment) × (1 − segment_adjustment)A tool for quickly and visually assessing the residual value of a car.
Instant calculation and depreciation chart
Current market odds
Helps plan purchase/sale
Comparison by methods and classes
How to reduce depreciation and maintain value:
Look for cars 2–4 years old: the decline has already slowed down
Avoid over-bundling - worse liquidity
Keep a service history - this increases the price
Compare by market and brands - premium loses faster
Use base rates by year and adjustments by mileage and segment. The calculator supports linear and exponential methods.
This is an estimate of the current market price of a car, taking into account age, mileage and class.
Over-mileage of approximately 15,000 km/year accelerates depreciation by 5–10% per year.
Linear (uniform decline) and exponential (more at the beginning, less later).
More often 10–15% per year after the first years, when the decline is higher (up to 18%).
On average, about 18% of the price, depending on the brand and segment.
Faster than market average: Add ~5% to base down rates.
Yes, as a rule, the fall is a little softer: −2% of base rates.
Strong brands support the price better: lower drops and faster sales.
This is a visualization of the car's price decline over the years.
Yes, significant accidents and paint damage reduce the price in addition to the base rates.
The target is ~15,000 km/year. Strong deviations accelerate the fall.
This is a decrease in market value over time due to wear and tear and market factors.
Apply year-over-year decline rates and purchase price adjustments.
These are indicative market estimates, accuracy depends on the specific vehicle.
Indirectly through the segment/brand. Over-staffing often degrades faster.
For a new car, exponential is more realistic; for older cars, linear is more realistic.
The average share of price reduction per year over the selected interval.
Crossovers in winter and convertibles in summer behave differently, which affects the price.
From brand, history, condition, equipment and color. A good story increases the price.
Estimated value with a typical decline of 35–45% over three years.
Add 5–10% to the drop for every ~10–15 thousand km above normal annually.
Yes, a proven service history increases residual value.
Yes, many owners usually reduce the price and slow down the sale.
The release of a new generation accelerates the decline of the old model range.
Yes, use the same parameters and compare the final costs.
Yes, old cars tend to the market minimum for spare parts/export.
A high price base, expensive service and narrow demand accelerate depreciation.
More often than not, 3–5 years is enough to plan a purchase/sale.
Save the results as PDF/screenshot for discussion and comparison.